MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
By Jonathan Martin and Megan Thee-Brennan, New York Times, Feb. 26/27, 2014
Republicans are in a stronger position than Democrats for this year’s midterm elections, benefiting from the support of self-described independents, even though the party itself is deeply divided and most Americans agree more with Democratic policy positions, the latest New York Times/CBS News poll shows.
The independents in the poll — a majority of whom were white or male or under age 45 — continued to sour on President Obama’s job performance. Republicans hold their edge despite the fissures in their party over whether it is too conservative or not conservative enough, and many are discouraged about the party’s future.
Democrats, in turn, are more optimistic and relatively united. Nonetheless, they, too, are held in low regard over all by a public fed up with Washington’s failure to compromise, and they have failed so far to energize a broader segment of the population [.....]
Comments
There is a large sophisticated interactive chart page with these categories
where you can also filter the results you get for each (using a drop down list) for a considerable number of categories like: age group and party i.d. and moderate/liberal/conservative within each party i.d.
by artappraiser on Wed, 02/26/2014 - 10:41pm
Wikipedia: United States Senate elections, 2014
....33 senators are up for election this year as class 2 Senators, and three are up for special elections (all from class 3). Among the seats up for election in 2014, currently, there are 21 held by Democrats and 15 held by Republicans....
Wikipedia: United States House of Representatives elections, 2014
by artappraiser on Wed, 02/26/2014 - 10:53pm
I keep hearing this from the media, and I find it mind-boggling. If ever there was a time for Democrats to rally their constituents and form coalitions with interested Independents, it is now. The GOP has moved radically to the Right on so many issues, and not just philosophically, but actually passing and implementing a far Right agendas in state after state, how can moderates of all stripes sit on their backsides this election? How can anyone outside of the far Right fringe vote for a more Republican, more do-nothing-even-more Congress? The GOP has done something to offend almost every demographic. Why can't Dems take advantage of this? And yet, the numbers speak volumes ... at least, for now.
by MrSmith1 on Thu, 02/27/2014 - 7:31am
It is frustrating, that when all is said and done (or not done) the vote will come down too this; the democrats are not as bad and they are not taking us to the right as fast.
Both parties feed at the same trough
All the rest is all election sloganeering to bring them into power so they can make more money. It's a dirty job but someone has to do it
by Resistance on Thu, 02/27/2014 - 7:45am
The key is to understand HOW the GOP was able to do this in order to understand the challenge going forward.
Hint: They can win or massively disrupt with only a small minority. The center has been neutered, in effect.
by Peter Schwartz on Mon, 03/03/2014 - 6:23pm
NYT did a poll like this in the spring of 2012 and figured out Obama was in trouble as well as the Democrats. All the serious people took it to heart and we had to suffer through all the pearl clutching by the media. And you see how well their predictions turned out then. I take it all with a grain of salt. It is too early for a poll like that to mean much of anything. This poll goes in the poll trash pile.
by trkingmomoe on Thu, 02/27/2014 - 9:47am
With attacks on the minimum wage, homosexuals, health care, etc, I think that their will be a reckoning for the GOP.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 02/27/2014 - 10:16am
Women will be voting this year as a block. I have waited all my adult life to finely see women stand up to their own best interests. There have been life long Republican women that have publicly left the party and joined the Democrats here in Florida. One is running for office the other was a former office holder. It has sent a strong message that it is OK to vote for how you feel personally and not stay loyal to something that doesn't look out for your best interests. GOP is in trouble at least in my part of the world.
by trkingmomoe on Thu, 02/27/2014 - 11:52pm
I tend to take you intuitions about what is going on in the FL body politic very seriously. But your state has no role this year in what happens in the Senate. And changing the Senate is the main thing right now affecting which way the federal government goes, indeed quite possibly whether the president can do anything beyond executive orders.
by artappraiser on Fri, 02/28/2014 - 12:40am
White House operation on 2014 and its new boss is described here:
in print there was this accompanying graphic
Interactive Graphic: The 2014 Senate Landscape
and there is also this in print today:
by artappraiser on Mon, 03/03/2014 - 5:44pm
Obama budget sets up election-year clash with Republicans
By Jeff Mason, Mark Felsenthal and David Lawder, Reuters, Mar 4, 2014
by artappraiser on Tue, 03/04/2014 - 2:17pm
Chris Matthews just discussed the following Charlie Cook article with David Axelrod right now on Hardball and Axelrod didn't dispute it all, he basically agrees with Cook:
Edit to add: the context of their discussion was also the current WaPo poll that shows the public agrees with a lot of Dem policy and trusts Dems over GOP on a lot of issues. That poll is also taken into account and acknowledged by Matthews and Axelrod, as well as Michael Steele who was also included in the discussion. Steele also thought Cook is right but thought that the GOP shouldn't get too cocky and not like, keep a lid on their crazies.
by artappraiser on Tue, 03/04/2014 - 7:48pm
Why then the mismatch between what people are thinking and how the election is likely to turn out? Did they opine on this?
by Peter Schwartz on Tue, 03/04/2014 - 8:07pm
not really, it was more like a conversation by and for politicos, presumed listeners understood things like the dynamic of the Senate races that will occur, which don't necessarily reflect the majority, and why the House doesn't really represent majority opinion, they didn't even address the House, like it still was surely GOP territory. Axelrod was talking more about what they have to do for the Senate, that it will be tough.
You can judge for yourself by watching the segment online, I just looked it up for you by going to Hardball's site:
http://www.msnbc.com/hardball/watch/new-poll-shows-americans-trust-dems-...
Despite the title there, they really spent more time talking about the topic of Cook's piece than the other poll. I admit I didn't listen that carefully, I was reading on the laptop at the same time.
by artappraiser on Tue, 03/04/2014 - 8:48pm
Makes a good case that turnout caused by advertising against Obamacare really helped Jolly get just enough extra votes.
by artappraiser on Thu, 03/13/2014 - 10:03am