Michigan: Santorum Country

Michigan: Santorum Country

By Elusive Trope on Wed, 02/15/2012 - 2:23pm |

The last three polls have Santorum leading Mitt +9, +3 and +15. It would seem one of the few times that Mitt actually took a stand on an issue in severely conservative way - the auto bail out - may just be the cause for his most humiliating defeat of the season. The SuperPAC cluster bombs may come in and save the day for Mitt, but he just may learn that in the world of primary politics, all politics is local.

URL:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_republican_presidential_primary-1589.html#polls

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The super pacs may of save the day for Romney but cause damage to the general campaign later.

by trkingmomoe on Wed, 02/15/2012 - 4:27pm

damned if he does and damned if he doesn't. ain't politics a bitch.

by Elusive Trope on Wed, 02/15/2012 - 5:39pm

I think the subheading that they used in the New York Times print edition today for the article on the new NYT/CBS poll summed it all up well:

GOP VOTERS SAY THEY WANT MORE CHOICES

The number: only 34% of all Republican primary voters are satisfied with the current choices, 62% want more choices. For self-identified Conservatives, the numbers are 34/61, for Evangelical Christians, 33/63, for Tea Partiers, 39/57. (Chart here.)

by artappraiser on Wed, 02/15/2012 - 7:45pm

P.S.: It would follow that on SuperPAC cluster bombs, most won't care as they don't like any of them that much to start with. Bring 'em on, they will reinforce things they are already thinking.

I should add that the chart on Republican voter satisfaction compares Oct/Nov numbers with current numbers, and shows large downward drops for the whole and for each group. The more they get to know 'em, the less they like 'em.

by artappraiser on Wed, 02/15/2012 - 8:00pm

Can Rick Santorum maintain the momentum? Here's what the polls say - video
16 February 2012

Guardian polling expert Harry J Enten gives his analysis of Rick Santorum's radical surge in the polls ahead of the Michigan Republican presidential primary on 20 February. Will his popularity among conservatives eventually nosedive in the same way Newt Gingrich's did, or could he simply be outspent by the Mitt Romney campaign juggernaut?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/video/2012/feb/16/rick-santorum-harry-enten-analysis-video

It's only 2:11 long and worth watching; basically he explains that the most recent trend is stabilization with Santorum surge no longer a surge and only a couple points ahead, and Romney attacks ads can probably reverse that. He also dismisses that attack ads will backfire with voters (except for the ones that are political junkies) and explains why.

by artappraiser on Thu, 02/16/2012 - 3:35pm

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