MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
Comments
Thanks for sharing, EZ.
Sheila Bair, along with former Commodity Futures Trading Commission chair Brooksley Born, on the accounts I have seen, come off as among the saner voices of reason on how to think about the appropriate policy conclusions to draw from the huge changes in the financial sector over the years (former Goldman Sachs high-level executive Gary Gensler, who turned against the Clinton Administration's anti-regulatory stance by 2002, is portrayed as another).
This, from Ron Suskind's excellent Confidence Men, pp. 171-172, on Born:
by AmericanDreamer on Fri, 09/21/2012 - 12:27pm
More from Suskind's Confidence Men, pp. 204-205:
by AmericanDreamer on Sun, 09/23/2012 - 11:09am
As much as I am pleased that these women are being applauded for their foresight and good sense, I doubt they will succeed in changing much through new or revised regulation even if they succeed in establishing it. The financial industry is far too adept at avoiding, circumventing and arbitraging outside regulation. They do, however, usually abide by rules and practices agreed to among themselves and can be quite ruthless in punishing deviators -- buh-bye Bear, Stearns and Lehman.
The difficulty they face was illustrated very recently when Schapiro did not succeed in her attempt to establish new regulations of Money Market Mutual Funds (MMFs, MMMFs) as she explained in a WSJ op/ed. Shelia Bair also commented on the loss from her new position with Pew's Systemic Risk Council.
No, I doubt more or different regulation will solve systemic risk because the current system is the problem. The regulatory agencies, FRB, FDIC, SEC, CFTB, in the end are simply enablers offering the illusion of oversight and a gloss of legitimacy to an industry that has gone rogue.
The TBTF institutions are a global oligarchy with the ability to make or break entire regions and countries, e.g. Europe, Libya. What is needed is countervailing power that can only come from stable and legitimate governments*: new or disencumbered national banks that advances in technology and knowledge now make possible for individuals and businesses to bank with direct -- and make it the only bank whose deposits are insured by the government.
by EmmaZahn on Sun, 09/23/2012 - 2:09pm
That's an interesting idea. I would think something like that might stand the best chance of getting serious consideration where individuals--such as the ones I mentioned in my comment--who have shown the greatest willingness to stand up to the power of the incumbent megabanks are holding influential and powerful positions. The existing megabanks could be counted on to oppose such a proposal in the same way as the private insurance companies fought tooth and nail to keep a robust public option out of the HC bill.
by AmericanDreamer on Sun, 09/23/2012 - 3:46pm
Insurance companies are the 'I' and banks are the 'F' in FIRE, so yes, they would oppose anything that cost them any of their subsidized cash flows.
IIRC, Shelia Bair, as then head of the FDIC, was the one official during the fall of 2008 that even mentioned the possibility of nationalizing any of the banks so she would likely be open to the idea. However, given our current level of economic indoctrination, I do not think nationalizing a private bank is doable. Maybe after the next crash.
What might be possible is to reestablish the US Postal Savings System for the un- and underbanked, 28.3% of households according to the FDIC most recent survey (PDF). This idea could benefit many, many underserved people and USPS at the same time. I wish I could recall where I read that idea. I know it was in an article about the problems USPS was experiencing with decreasing sales and its pension funding commitment. With a good plan, such a bank could be gradually expanded into a viable alternative to private banks.
Likely? No. But it is nice to think it could.
by EmmaZahn on Sun, 09/23/2012 - 8:28pm
I hadn't heard of the US Postal Savings System. If you remember where/who you read that idea I'd be interested to know, to get a sense of how close or not to the mainstream whomever was writing about it is.
When I read your comment I wasn't sure if you were referring to a US government bank or the concept of only insuring deposits of private banks which adhere to specified standards of prudence (what Glass-Steagall did) and transparency (necessary in this day of nontransparent financial wizardry--probably would need to include exchanges for derivatives trades that are deemed safe enough to continue to be legal) and, perhaps, maximum size to create helpful incentives dealing with too big to fail. Obviously during times where normal politics prevail and there is no immediate and widespread public sense of crisis and urgency, all of these kinds of proposals are nonstarters. It might well take another meltdown to create the conditions under which any of these or other farther reaching proposals becomes a live option, unfortunately.
In re to Bair and her views on nationalization, you may know this to be correct. Suskind has her in spring '09 favoring taking down several of the large troubled financial institutions, including Citi, through "resolution", implying a controlled bankruptcy and brief government takeover. (p. 204). (This was essentially the Swedish approach that Krugman had written in support of and that Obama had read and liked. In attempting to combat the predictable hew and cry of "nationalization" and "government takeover", etc., Krugman made a big thing at the time of trying to explain to his readers how this was not a long-term nationalization proposal but that the banks would be returned to private ownership over time as the toxic asset messes were cleaned up, as had been the case in Sweden.)
Romer and Summers(!) were in agreement with Bair, and the former two from the White House staff faced off against Geithner (promoting the stress tests, only, out of concern not to create a crisis of confidence he thought would further damage the financial sector) and Bernanke on the other side during a fateful White House meeting in March '09. During this meeting, Obama after listening to the arguments made it clear he favored Romer/Summers' bolder, more far-reaching approach, which was intended to impose some accountability for reckless behavior and expedite dealing with the toxic asset overhang that was freezing up credit flows.
Obama left the meeting for a time instructing his aides to wrap up. Whereupon Emanuel closed the door and essentially worked to sabatoge his own boss's directive by the time Obama returned, by instructing the meeting participants that what his boss wanted stood no chance with Congress and therefore they had to talk him out of moving in that direction when he returned to the meeting. Which they proceeded to do.
I share these details not only because I find them fascinating--and because they bear on longstanding speculation here and elsewhere about what Obama has been trying to do at various times on some of the big issues, of which this is obviously one--but also because it seems entirely possible that we could wind up in a similar situation not too far down the road so long as the most serious underlying problems remain unaddressed. If we do wind up in a similar situation again, these policy debates will be taking place again, and there will be a "road not taken" (from spring '09) argument that will come into play.
by AmericanDreamer on Sun, 09/23/2012 - 9:20pm
Found it: Postal Banking to the Rescue of the US Postal Service | NewAmerica.net.
What I originally meant and still prefer would be a new central (or co-central) bank. Leave private banks not totally unregulated but definitely unsubsidized. I consider both the FRB Primary Dealer System and FDIC Insurance subsidies to TBTF banks by providing them with the illusion of safety and putting taxpayers directly at risk. There was actually a disclaimer on the FRB-NY website in 2008 warning that being one of its Primary Dealers was not a guarantee by the Fed of their transactions. We know how that turned out. So much for the disclaimer.
Although greatly lauded and possibly very useful when enacted, Glass-Steagall was not, imo, so great by the time it was repealed. So much of it had already been excepted and circumvented and even worse the regulatory arbitrage between Reg Q and Reg D basically created what became known as the shadow banking system.
Thanks for the human interest aspect. I tend to be drawn to the systemic aspects and miss some good stories as a result.
by EmmaZahn on Sun, 09/23/2012 - 11:08pm
This is an idea so simple and good that it's breathtaking. What a great way to use currently under-used post offices. And if the accounts were small, all kinds of people could have one! A whole underclass, currently using cash and prepaid cards, could have actual debit accounts again!
So much better than the below article, where people get a high-interest loan so they can buy a "prepaid" debit card.
by erica20 on Wed, 09/26/2012 - 12:41am
It's just plain stoopid that the USPS doesn't start offering more of the same services that check cashing industry does. (Now raking in more dough than ever, and getting huge, I just recently read--in any article on them, even in business publications, they use the adjective "predatory" like a 10 times.)
The area I live in the Bronx is very mixed income and ethnicity, but the further south you go, it gets poorer, and my Post Office is closer to the lower income areas.. I go there often. They do a bangup business in money orders to pay bills . It's clear that people go to the check cashing places to get cash and then take the cash to the Post Office to buy the cheaper (and more liquid) money orders that USPS sells and then can mail their bills at the same time.
USPS money orders are cash or debit only. They could have their own debit cards with paychecks going on them, they could be getting a lot of that business that the check cashing folks get, most people using their money orders would be happy to be able to do the one stop thing--deposit check, get money orders, mail bills, rather than run allover the place. They could become bankers that way quite easily. Of course, they'd have to stop cutting hours and staff....
by artappraiser on Wed, 09/26/2012 - 2:37am
More on what is happening to the un- and underbanked:
Comptroller Curbs Florida Bank on Prepaid Cards
A good reason for reestablishing the US Postal Bank.
by EmmaZahn on Tue, 09/25/2012 - 11:45pm
Not to mention the "De-Banked."
by erica20 on Wed, 10/03/2012 - 12:14pm
American Banker reviews Bair's book and Felix Salmon defends Geithner
by EmmaZahn on Thu, 09/27/2012 - 8:50pm
A real tell for me will be whether, if Obama does win, Tim Geithner, or someone with a worldview and commitments similar to his, is our next Treasury Secretary.
Suskind would not state this as his conclusion but I conclude based on his reporting that Geithner--along with Summers and Emanuel--was during the first two years of this Administration simply insubordinate. They did not seem to understand that they are there to serve the President, to carry out the President's wishes. Some of them might have thought they'd *like* to be the President, or at least have the role of decider-in-chief, on economic policy. And some of them clearly did believe they knew better than the President, apparently concluding from that that therefore it was ok to do what they thought rather than what the President wanted. Never mind that no one voted for Larry Summers or Rahm Emanuel or Tim Geithner.
Our country could, for starters, sure use a Treasury Secretary who understands that s/he works for the President and is obliged to carry out the President's wishes whether they agree or disagree with a particular decision. We also could really use a Treasury Secretary who does not see his job as the Wall Street megabanks' chief lobbyist in Washington, strategically located inside the Executive branch of the US government. I tried but was unable to discern, in Suskind's rich account, any evidence of Geithner making any distinction whatever between what Wall Street megabanks wanted, versus what was in the broad public interest. At least during the first 2 years of this Administration, which is as far as Suskind's account extends.
It was famously said during the post-WWII era heyday of General Motors that what was good for General Motors was good for America. For Tim Geithner, what is good for high finance (or, more accurately, what high finance says it wants--the two do not appear to be the same) is good for America. At least during its heyday, when that sentiment was expressed, General Motors didn't arrange for bailouts from the taxpayers, at any time, let alone after their own disastrous and irresponsible decisions had left them in desperate need of one.
Bair's book is getting favorable reader reviews at amazon so far. Have you read it, or, do you plan to?
by AmericanDreamer on Wed, 10/03/2012 - 10:32am
Bair's book is getting favorable reader reviews at amazon so far. Have you read it, or, do you plan to?
Not yet. Yes. I will probably read any insider history written. I have spent so much time down this particular rabbit hole since Bear, Stearns was swallowed by JP Morgan in Spring 2008. It was surprisingly difficult during the cascading crises that followed to figure out what was going on and astounding how little leading economists knew about how money actually flows through the system as well as what and where the incentives are that channel it. I try to keep up with the professional stuff but there is just so much of it -- and the verbiage! Some days I feel like my head will explode. Simple narratives sound soothing.
by EmmaZahn on Wed, 10/03/2012 - 11:22am
Among the ones you've read on the financial crisis, are there particular ones you liked or found especially helpful, that folks who are not really deep into the weeds on this like you clearly are might hope to be able to at least partially grasp? How about ones you didn't like or did not find on the mark? Just curious, if you're interested and have time to respond. If not, no worries...
by AmericanDreamer on Wed, 10/03/2012 - 11:37am
Not really. Most of what I read is online and often more than I can absorb. I did buy a textbook that was referenced often in footnotes to FRB staff reports. Bonus: It turned out to have an interesting cover considering it is a pre-crisis edition.
Thanks for asking though. It prompted me to check my Amazon wish list where I discovered that A History of the Federal Reserve by Allan Meltzer that I wanted to read now has Kindle editions for much, much less that the hardcovers. Not exactly light reading but necessary for the line of inquiry I am pursuing.
by EmmaZahn on Fri, 10/05/2012 - 11:00am
Since I've quoted and otherwise drawn extensively from the Suskind book in this thread I'll link to some of the pushback the book generated at the time of publication, a little over a year ago, in a Washington Post piece : http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/book-portrays-dysfunction-in-obama-white-house/2011/09/16/gIQAdxloYK_story_1.html
I love Summers' classic non-denial denial in his quoted email. So typical of how this town operates.
by AmericanDreamer on Wed, 10/03/2012 - 1:45pm