MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
Ann Selzer is one of most respected and reliable pollster in Iowa. This was a interview on Bloomberg TV a week ago and it is a video only. It is interesting because she really knows her state. She uses her polling data to back up her analysis. This year is the first year that she is also doing national polls
Comments
We live in hope.
by HSG on Fri, 11/20/2015 - 7:30pm
What I found in her analysis that was significant was her statement on women. She is seeing the same thing I am seeing. It is older women who wants to see a women as president in their lifetime. but I also see a economic divide too in women. Older women who are having a difficult time making ends meet find Sanders campaign speaking to them. Yes, they would like to see a women president before they die but Sanders reminds them there is more important reasons to vote for him. He will break up the to big to fail banks not nibble around the edges with a 5 point comprehensive plan. The really big reason is raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour and Clinton says $12 an hour because $15 is too much for business to absorb. They need the $15 and so they lean towards Sanders. They worry more about putting food on the table then international terrorist.
by trkingmomoe on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 4:35am
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 11:24am
Clinton is starting at the compromise before the negotiation starts. Then we end up with $10. Nope. Not buying it. The country's minimum wage workers want $15 so they can eat. even in small towns like mine. There are very few mom and pop's since the 2008 crash. Walmart and large chains can afford it.
by trkingmomoe on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 8:45pm
by PeraclesPlease on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 1:55am
Your high school part time job is now held by a struggling adult trying to survive and working also a second part time job. Unemployment rate is high for kids in school and coming out of school. Keeping wages down is not going to create and keep jobs for them. .The small business will not be around if the community don't have any money to buy it's services. I haven't bought a pizza from a shop in a good decade. Eating out for us is the dollar menu at McDonald's drive thru window and sharing a large soft drink.
Here is an example. My air conditioner needs replaced. They last about 15 years. So 2 years ago I had to have a AC guy out to look at it. He said it would be $3200 to replace it. I paid him for his service charge. He would not even clean it for me. So my son found a fan motor and rigged it up to work. In the mean time I have been saving for a new one. It quit last week.
Let me digress for a minute.
For 6 years the only work my son could get was day labor paid in cash. He is a skilled finish carpenter and final boat rigger. When the contractor he works for found out that he was going to go to work for USF part time, actually hired him through a staffing services. He was the only day laborer that had a driver license and could drive the truck. He also picks up everyone in the morning. His crew has been in this country for a long time with families but are undocumented. This is common here in South Florida. The contractor he works for is also bail bondsman and a decent guy who pays his people. Many of them cheat their day workers. So my son and his little crew of 3 men repair stucco on mc mansions. They work for minimum wage on a hard, hot nasty job and the work is not a reliable 40 hour a week.
Back to the air conditioner.
We went a few days without air conditioning in 83 degree humid weather. I hear the truck pull up and I hear a mix of Spanish and English. Instead of going home they came to work on the unit. The car kept leaving going after stuff. In 2 hours the unit was running again. They cleaned it, recharged it and repaired some wiring. It cost me three six packs of beer. Next month they want to replace the breaker box to it. I suspect when I have enough saved for a unit. It will get bought under someone's contractor license and installed for beer.
My neighbor 2 doors down is in the same boat but they put in a small window unit for the last year and created a cool room. They now have enough saved for a large window unit that can be bought at Home Depot. They have at the back of the trailer built a platform to hold the unit where the park manager can't see it. They still have to move the 220 power line. That will get done on a Sunday when no one is looking. They would rather not have to do that and replace the whole house unite that is attached to the floor vents. This unit will cool the whole place and the little unit will go in the kitchen window for cooking heat.
The nice AC technician who is a small business man isn't getting the work because the wages are being held down and labor is not getting paid. There is no path for these men to become citizens. It is a structure put in place by politicians, paid for by the wealthy and it sucks. This is just one example out of millions and millions.
So who do you think has the stump speech that talks directly to me? When you see polling that shows Clinton is not trusted, it is not because they think she is not truthful, but because they don't trust her to fix the deep problems in the economical structure.
Besides small businesses can raise prices to help them weather through the transition process of higher minimum wages. My family will have a little extra to buy one of those pizzas that has a new higher cost, right now I have to make my own. I would love to have a day off from the kitchen.
by trkingmomoe on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 9:16am
Momoe, Yours is an important voice is this never-ending discussion about how we're going to take care of our domestic problems. We need to hear more about the plight of the poor and you're right there in the frontlines, reporting from the trenches. I hope you'll keep doing this.
We may be backing different candidates and you may not understand why I'm supporting Hillary, but I fully understand why your choice not only is but must be Bernie. If he wins, I'll work hard to get him elected. If he doesn't win, he'll have left his mark, forcing the Democratic party to address their cowardice on the home front and their neglect of the poor and middle classes.
Whatever the outcome, liberal populism is on the rise and all I can say is it's about time.
by Ramona on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 1:01pm
"When you see polling that shows Clinton is not trusted, it is not because they think she is not truthful, but because they don't trust her to fix the deep problems in the economical structure. " - I also suspect it may be how questions are asked & the incessant media rant against her ignoring a good many of her credentials, but I can imagine that a good many think someone else would be a better advocate for their position on those issues.
by PeraclesPlease on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 2:02pm
Or it could be that people don't find her to be trustworthy.
by HSG on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 7:56pm
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 11/23/2015 - 1:11am
Figuring taxes, the employer mantra is "fed, social, social, med, med." That's the addition matrix for their tax liability per employee. If you think your payroll taxes are high, consider theirs.
On the worker end, going from full-time (gross regardless of number of employers) @current minimum to a practical 100% increase would possibly mean going to a tax bracket which would complicate credits and/or subsidies at year end - especially for families. Many on state assistance would lose benefits. Many in public housing could lose it. Basically, if nothing changes within the status quo other than wages the folks seeking a better life will simply find new problems.
It's complicated, but that's the point.
by barefooted on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 3:05am
When I got married, many moved out of rent as first time home buyers because of subsidize home loans by the Federal government through FHA. It was called a 216 or 232 loan. The cost of buying a home was cheaper then renting at that time. Programs like this held the line on high rent costs and speculators in the housing market. There were other programs also like that. It helped put my generation in home ownership.
We need programs for green energy to go along with new higher wages. Retro fitting current housing stock will hold the cost of household expenses and be good for the environment. Look what Germany has done.
Some of the most creative and resilient people I know live in public housing. They are quite good at problem solving. Sanders grew up in rent controlled housing. He understands the problems that people face in the system. He will work for solutions.
The best thing about Sanders campaign is, even if he loses, he will go back to congress with his army of supporters and work hard for changes. It isn't all about winning. It is about making needed changes.
by trkingmomoe on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 10:08am
http://www.buzzfeed.com/alisoncaporimo/stacks-on-stacks
by PeraclesPlease on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 8:31am
Of course it's not over. Why would anyone think it is? It's entirely possible, perhaps likely, that he can win both Iowa and New Hampshire. There's a very vibrant primary in process.
by barefooted on Fri, 11/20/2015 - 9:01pm
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 1:59am
Her comments are on the political primary landscape in Iowa as it is currently. It is not a prediction and only points out not to count Sanders out because he is doing well in key groups.
This election dynamics is about the economy and standing up to the oligarchy. That is were all the energy is at for the Democrats. The country is suffering from Middle East fatigue.
by trkingmomoe on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 4:56am
by PeraclesPlease on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 11:26am
You would be surprised how many think Hillary Clinton is going to be the next president.
by trkingmomoe on Sat, 11/21/2015 - 4:42am
No, I wouldn't be surprised - I'm one of them. That doesn't negate my belief that the primary is far from over, or that the general will be a tough fight. I'm looking forward to the challenge, and her eventual hard won victory.
by barefooted on Sun, 11/22/2015 - 1:32am