Michael Maiello's picture

    Social Security's Haters (or, Payas Gonna Hate).

    Jay Ackyroyd at Eschaton flagged this interesting Matt Yglesias piece about the rationale of Social Security haters.  It's worth a read.  Here's the money bit, as Ackyroyd quoted:

    "You've got this big scheme to levy taxes on working people who are participating in The Economy and transfer money to people who've dropped out of The Economy. They take that money and use it to pay the electricity bill and buy a cookie for their grandkids. If they didn't get that money, they'd probably have to work longer and spend more years being part of The Economy. And they'd have to spend their working years being thriftier, and amassing more savings that (via the magic of the financial system) finance private sector investments in The Economy. So not only would lower taxes on The Economy spur more growth, but the mere fact of not sending your grandma those checks is good for The Economy. The Economy thrives on incentives (if you work, we'll give you money) and desperation (if you want money, you have to work) and Social Security is a double-wammy, reducing the incentives of workers and reducing the desperation of the elderly."

    Yglesias is being descriptive, not prescriptive, but he basically agrees with this economic formulation.  It's just that, when making policy, Yglesias takes more than just the demands of "the Economy" (his satirical capitalization) into account.  I'd bicker, though with some of the economic reasoning here, though I don't dispute that influential people think exactly as Yglesias describes.

    First, most people don't view Social Security as a scheme of, "taxing working people and giving money to retired people."  If it were that, then there wouldn't be a surplus in Social Security's account.  Social Security is more like a group pension.  Everybody pays in, everybody gets paid out.  If you want, you can imagine that the money you pay today is being taken away by your retired parents or grandparents.  Or, you can think of it as an investment in your own future and the future of other workers in and around your generation.

    If you think of it as a giant transfer payment, you're bound to hate the whole scheme, especially if you're Millennial, Gen Y or Gen X -- smaller generations who shoulder the bills and won't get the rewards.

    If you think of it as an investment in yourself and your peers, though, you have another mission -- force the government to pay back the money raided from Social Security's coffers and stop the government from going back to the till again to pay for more great foreign adventures.  How you view it is kind of up to you. I can see arguments both ways though, as I said, the existence of a surplus definitely suggests something more like a pension than a transfer payment.  Make the government a better steward of that pension and you can be more comfortable with the latter formulation.

    My other quibble is with the notion that retirees are people who have "dropped out of the Economy."  This implies that only workers participate in the Economy.  This forgets that consumption is a vital part of the Economy.  Without consumption, without demand, most of what goes on in the economy is just empty wheel spinning.

    Matt writes that without Social Security, people would have to save more (true, see China.)  Those savings he says, would form the basis of bank capital that could be productively invested (also true, in the abstract).  But, two problems: 1) increased savings, especially in conservative investments like bank accounts and real estate are contractionary in the short run and 2) banks are not hurting for capital, they are hurting for viable lending opportunities due to depressed aggregate demand.  There's a good chance that, in the current economy, ending Social Security and forcing people to be more frugal would tip us right back into a recession.  It certainly wouldn't encourage banks to finance new business ventures because if the demand for that doesn't exist now, it will certainly not exist if we have a 10% plus average savings rate.

    Finally, without Social Security's guaranteed annuity, there will be more senior level poverty and near-poverty in the future.  Some people will not be able to save what they must.  Some will try but will lose some money to bad or even fraudulent investments.  Some people will not be financially ready to retire but will also not be welcome at work.

    One thing that the Great Recession should have taught us is that it is extremely expensive to run a country full of poor, near poor and struggling people.  Unless we are prepared to adopt the coldest Darwinian attitudes, we will have to pay for government programs to take care of these people.  That's one reason why deficits doubled after the Financial Crisis.  So how is that good for the economy, long-term?

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    Comments

     "... and reducing the desperation of the elderly."  

    Gee, and here I am thinking that reducing the desperation of the elderly is a good thing.

     


    That's just crazy talk.


    They will have to pry that SS check out of my cold dead hands...or something like that!


    If everybody had an assault rifle, nobody would take anybody's Social Security away.


    Would or Could?


    The haters are welcome to support their elderly parents and disabled relatives like everyone had to before Social Security started to really kick in.

    Edit to add: Maybe some of them believe that was like how they showed it on The Waltons? Instead of like, wanting to strangle your mother-in-law?


    The haters, as Yglesias sees them, are mostly titans of industry.  They either have enough space for the previous generation or arrange for them.


    If only. I saw Carville a few years ago respond to a republican making that argument. he said, "Don't these people read history. A significant number of them didn't take care of their parents. So we had elderly living on the streets and in rat infested apartments eating out of dumpsters and eating cat food. Do we really want to go back to that?"


    I think the key point here is that, just like with other entitlement programs, people who support heavy cuts do not believe that they (or people in their families) are the "drain on the system." So, obviously, their parents and grandparents would be the "smart" ones and would be prepared financially for ruin, catastrophic illness, etc.


    The old "I've got mine, now go get yours"

    The new , Go get yours." It is instead "I've got mine and now I am going to get yours and everyone else's, too. Deal with it." Can you say Halliburton (No bid contracts)? Romney?


    I think what you say is more or less true, but my point was more that the people who complain about the system still take full advantage of the system. They just deem themselves worthy and others as unworthy. Guess what color worthy is.


    Green?

    But they'll say green with envy.

    They'll remind us of the Ant and the Grasshopper fable.


    That fable isn't about envy. 


    I know that, but believe it or not, when shrub was in office and then again in the election of McCain and Obama,I received a lot more Emails.

    Suggesting that the (R) Ant worked so hard and saved, and the liberal ant, envied what the ant had accumulated.  

    "Save us Mr Ant, give us some shelter,  give us some food, you greedy dung beetle  or we'll just take it. Tax him for everything he has"

    That was the fear mongering by the right, keep Obama out of office, he'll tax you for everything you got.


    Beyond just color, I'm intrigued by the notion that a retiree, after years of work has "left the economy," as Yglesias puts it.  I wonder if they would say the same thing about a startup entepreneur, movie star or professional athlete who makes enough money to retire at 30 or 40 and does so?  Have they "dropped out" of the economy?  Or just won the game?


    It's kind of ruthless, isn't it? You're too old to be productive, so we shouldn't take care of you any more? I don't want to live in a place that thinks that way.


    Agreed.


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