MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
I've been posting 538's daily forecast for the House and Senate election.
It's aged out of From the Readers so I'll stop.
What I've learned is that nothing has changed much during that week of ten days: 538 calculates the dems
will carry the House and not the Senate. By about they would have done when I started.
I'll post it again on Election eve.
Comments
I think the Democrats will take the House and lose the Senate. Democrats may pick up some Governorships. I early voted. I can’t stress about what the rest of the country does. Personally, I think Republicans are scum. I work with Republicans and I’m cordial. I don’t trust them. If Democrats lose every race, I’ll start working on getting people out in 2020. I have enough family and friend support to get me through either way.
I caught snippets of Trump saying that the wants to tell the truth and sometimes will tell the truth. There was another interview where he said that he didn’t care if his rhetoric against his opponents resulted in violence because the harsh rhetoric is how he won. I see the cheering.crowds at his rallies chanting “Lock her up”. Those are the deplorables. I acknowledge their existence. I encourage people to became engaged in community projects and to vote.
I realize that a portion of the population is not on my side and wants me gone. I place my hope in the rest of the population. I rely on family, friends, and faith. Life is good.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 10:28am
Seems to me you're mostly right. But every now and then ,stuck in the snow one of the
deplorneighbors comes out in slippers to help push so I have to take that into account too.by Flavius on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 11:00am
I gave a 50th anniversary gift to a Conservative couple. We are cordial. However, I realize that they would have no problem with voting for a voter ID laws that excluded common forms of ID used by black people. I am willing to bet a significant number, if not a majority, of workers had civil interactions with coworkers who supported issues the other considered abhorrent.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 11:24am
Yes.
I've never met a perfect person.
And on the specific issue of the rights of blacks I recall the moment in my childhood when I first started to realize that people were mixtures of good and bad. When someone I greatly respected , removed his cigar from his mouth, paused and said " I often think the negroes were better off under slavery."
I'll leave it at that.
by Flavius on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 11:50am
I can look at the Trump rallies and I see people who demonize the poor. They are OK with kidnapping babies. Martin Luther King Jr. was openly critical of people who were silent when evil was around them. That is what I see when a look at the smiling faces at Trump rallies and when I hear the excuses for Trump by my Conservative coworkers.
I think we will get the House. If we don’t, we start working on 2020. If we win the House, we start working on 2020.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 12:21pm
Flavius, one image that remains with me is of Angela Rye brought to tears during a panel on CNN. Rye was frustrated by the normalization of racism under Trump. The frustration was deepened by the fact that she was often accused of being a racist for pointing out racism. I felt Rye’s pain. It took a lot not to hate the white female Conservative, Allidin Stewart, who was on the panel with Rye. Stewart showed zero empathy. She only cared that Trump was putting her policies in places. I quickly realized that there is no point in hating Stewart. The best option was to empathize with Rye, and double efforts to get people to volunteer and to vote.
https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2018/07/12/david-jolly-angela-rye-tr...
I add Allison Stewart to the people I don’t trust. I continue to GOTV. I’ll be taking some “stragglers” to the polls on Tuesday. via a borrowed van.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 2:12pm
Good thinking.
I was beaten up by 3 black kids. According to our code I tried to hide it but my family saw some blood and raised hell . The black kids apologized and I said , sure. Don't know about the other two but one of them stayed and said "I don't know why I did it" and I completely believed him. Still do.
I was beaten up by 3 white kids . No one apologized but I got some satisfaction that I learned they were afraid to come to town because they were afraid of me.
Time passed .I was looking for a home for my son with autism being forced out of a program because he was found too unlikely to improve justifying blocking some one with a better chance . Money was very tight but I found a guy with piper cub to fly us two to a possible new location The plane showed up, the pilot , one of the white kids from 10 years ago. ( He wasn't afraid of me any more.) The flight was not the greatest and the new possible home said no , but I made a friend.
And I could tell you about the time I was beaten up by a kid on his way to win the "Golden Gloves" but it would be too repetitive. I can say I rooted for him during the competition.
by Flavius on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 5:31pm
Thank you mr. wisdom. Some people are uncouth, some people are mean, some people are bad, go figure.
Some people can get eyeballs and clicks from stoking that
On the latter, sharing some local reporting insight with you from Lohud.com. I think you'll enjoy it. I know you'll get it, I am sure. The whole Proud Boys thing, this not exactly what it seems to be as portrayed in the national media. More kinda like "let's see if we can make some money here ginning up this white guy thing, to support the wife (Hillary voter) and kids in a style they've become accustomed to":
Proud Boys founder Gavin McInnes and Trump critic Amy Siskind come face-to-face
By Gabriel Rom and Jorge Fitz-Gibbon, Rockland/Westchester Journal News Published 5:01 p.m. ET Oct. 30, 2018 | Updated 7:45 a.m. ET Oct. 31, 2018
I did a little googling after reading that.
It appears that this Amy Siskind has a lot invested in selling her new anti-Trump book. So it's very important to her to make sure that McInness remains a sworn vicious enemy!
Found McInness actually was a guest on an LA radio show My Wife Hates Me, Carville/Matalin type stuff in comedy form, so I have no doubt that the story about his wife being a Hillary supporter is true. The variety of his enterpreneurial activities mentioned in the article sort of rounds that out.
As does this little public photo op.
Still scum of the earth, maybe, but not for the ideological reasons one might first think.
Then I'll throw in a pointer to this recent Politico piece which found much of the Trump rally fan base has fallen to the young angry males acting out.
Which brings us back to your comment about boys beating other boys up.
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 7:18pm
Let's hope 538 is right on the House swing districts because this "what if" alternative scenario is extremely ugly:
I never gotten what lefties don't get about how important swing districts are to making this a livable country. Often riling the middle with extremism gets you: less than nothing. Let's hope the right is riling them plenty right now.
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 9:08pm
NYTimes currently has a headline story on related:
Trump’s Nationalism Is Breaking Point for Some Suburban Voters
1h ago
Sorta synchs nicely with the article about the Proud Boys's founder whining about his family being treated as pariah in Westchester/Rockland land, don't it?
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 9:19pm
Fox host: Oprah is going to get Stacey Abrams elected (my underlining on white suburban voters)
By Joe Concha @ TheHill.com, Nov. 1
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 11:46pm
P.S. Oprah is registered as an Independent and said it straight out stumping for Abrams, talking anti-partisan, which was very very smart of her to do, just ups the power of the influence she already has with many women as a straight, fair and not overly politically correct person:
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 11:51pm
It's not just a question of whether 538 is right about the swingers. He just obtains the poll results and day after day they're telling the same story : we'll have the House and McConnell will run the other one.
by Flavius on Sat, 11/03/2018 - 12:11am
by artappraiser on Thu, 11/01/2018 - 10:21pm
10/31 Harris interactive Nelson 46 Scott 47 .............Trafalcar 49 47
10/29 Cygnal 50 48 .............Suffolk Univ 45 43
10/26 You Gov 46 46 ...............Siena 50 38 and .............................................................48 44
10/23 Gravis Mktg 49 45 ...............Saint Leo Univ 47 38
by Flavius on Fri, 11/02/2018 - 2:25am
Gillum may help Bill Nelson win.
by rmrd0000 on Fri, 11/02/2018 - 9:40am
Yes
by Flavius on Fri, 11/02/2018 - 10:57am
as news and politics junkies, we all love horse race coverage, but here's a guilty reminder for us all of the damage that does:
Don't know what the answer is. I'm not going to stop liking both kinds of news. The horse race stuff has a much bigger audience, that's for sure. People love gaming. And passionate partisans of course are exceptionally interested. Then, since the blogosphere era, everyone wants to prove they could do better talking points and war room tactics than the pros (same as like: if I was the coach for the Lakers, they would be winning.)
by artappraiser on Fri, 11/02/2018 - 6:43pm
When he visited me in London I took my father to the races..
He loved the fact that after the finish - at the other side of the track -the book makers ,standing on step ladders, continued taking bets until the track declared the official result..
by Flavius on Sat, 11/03/2018 - 12:22am
On Texas Senate, interesting that the "contrarian conservative" pundit asks:
by artappraiser on Sat, 11/03/2018 - 2:11am