The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age
    Richard Day's picture

    FIVE DAYS: IT'S JUST A KISS AWAY

    Five days to go folks and we are just a KISS AWAY.

    Here’s why some Democrats are worried tonight. If Romney wins the three Southern battlegrounds (FL, NC, and VA) and OH, he is at 266 electoral votes. Leaving the other five battlegrounds unallocated, that means Obama would be at 237 and Romney would only need to win one of the remaining five states to get to 270+. See the map above.

    One senior Democratic official expressed real concern tonight unlike I have heard before about Ohio potentially slipping away from Obama (the state has been trending Republican in statewide races, Rob Portman has become a force, religious and gun groups are flooding the state with voter contacts, two of Romney’s top strategists have recently won a statewide race there, etc).

    This doesn’t mean Romney has the upper hand right now. But it is no longer at all implausible that he could take the three Southern battlegrounds and Ohio. If he does that, he sure as heck would have the upper hand. And that leaves at least some Democrats with the shakes.

    http://thepage.time.com/2012/10/15/the-romney-scenario/?iid=obinsite

     

    Now Article Man will show up sometime, I suppose.

    He is running our election live wire anyway.

    I just feel that at this point in time I am being bamboozled.

    Scarborough calls Nate Silver a partisan and a liar and....oh who cares?

    CHARLIE ROSE: You've heard this criticism. Joe Scarborough said you were "an ideologue and a joke." That the notion of 73, 74 percent [chance of an Obama win] was simply silly. And you fired back and said that Joe was "math-challenged." What is it that Joe doesn't understand?

    NATE SILVER, NEW YORK TIMES, FiveThirtyEight.com: So the thing about - well Joe is not using a lot of different subjects that I learned in school. He's not using, he's not using math, number one. Where you can actually say how often does a two-point lead hold up? He's not using history in the sense you can actually use historical data to inform your opinion about things. So, you know I think there are very - he's not using civics. In that he's not looking at the Electoral College.

    http://beta.mrc.org/biasalerts/nyt-pollster-nate-silver-i-dont-intend-vote-year

    If I hear one more line of bullshite that Mitt has the big mo; I will enter some treatment facility.

    Big mo? Where?

    Rasmussen sucks as it always has; certainly for the last two years.

    Rick Santorum now trails the president by four percentage points, 46% to 42%. Rasmussen Reports will now be tracking the Obama-Santorum race on a daily basis. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Last week, Santorum had a one-point advantage over Obama. However, like Rick Perry, Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich before him, Santorum was unable to sustain that advantage beyond a single poll

     

    http://hotair.com/archives/2012/02/10/rasmussen-tracking-poll-shows-santorum-within-four-of-obama/

    Remember when Rove told us he had all the numbers a month before the elections of 2006?

    Karl Rove, President Bush's top political strategist, says he doesn't believe the polls — at least the public polls that claim the Republicans are likely to lose the House of Representatives and possibly even the Senate on Election Day.

    "I see several things," Rove says. "I'm allowed to see the polls on the individual races. And after all, this does come down to individual contests between individual candidates."

    Well he is at it again.

    He cannot help himself. He is a salesman besides a rapscallion for chrissakes and he talks billionaires and hundred millionaires out of hundreds of millions of dollars—so what the hell else is he supposed to say?

    Chris Christie is the ONLY real news out there except for Hurricane Sandy of course!

    There has already been a poll whereby 78% of those polled give kudos to Christie and Obama!

    Hell the midget who runs NYC just endorsed My President:

    In a surprise announcement, Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg said Thursday that Hurricane Sandy had reshaped his thinking about the presidential campaign, and he announced that he was endorsing President Obama.

    And rush and so many cruel cruel repubs are attacking Christie as being fat and a traitor!

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/wp/2012/10/30/chris-ch...

    hahahahahah

    Romney is pretending to send hard goods to the Red Cross; which is something they have problems dealing with.

    Mitt is the guy who told us in one of his last debates (primary) that FEMA was a bad thing.

    Mitt is the guy who told us—in writing—not so long ago wished to send all automakers into bankruptcy and now says:

    Well sure, bankruptcy is good and we (meaning the govment) would 'guarantee' loans to refinance those entities where there were no private funds to be found anywhere.

    Of course, as TPM points out (as well as every other web site that really gives us some history) that Mitt has decided to lie in Ohio about automakers turning into Chinese Communists...

    OH HELL! Who cares?

    9 out of 10 polls see Barry leading in Iowa, leading in Wisconsin, leading in Ohio, leading in Penn, leading in Minnesota, leading in Iowa—hell he is leading in Virginia for chrissakes!

    Hell, five out of ten polls show him leading in Florida and the race in NC is almost a tie!

    I stick to the eastern half of the nation since I really believe that the race is going to be called before Midnight on the 6th!

    Along comes Halperin, the man who called My President a Dick (although I have been called a Dick for well over half a century) and presents this bullshite:

     

    http://thepage.time.com/2012/10/15/the-romney-scenario/?iid=obinsite

    Well the dems want everyone to vote THAT HAS NOT ALREADY VOTED!

    By the way, it appears that millions have already voted and millions more will have already voted before the 6th! Except for here in Minnesota where early voting is not allowed.

    Oh I gotta include this evidence that Michele Bachmann is intending to become a stand-up comedienne:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/31/michele-bachmann-political-spee...

    If there is really this overwhelming support for how Our President has handled the Storm of the Century (you gotta see the NY Gov cover this one) how in the hell does The Mitt make up any ground in this election?

    This scenario is fine with me.

    Hell, we need dems to vote and this script really inspires these folks to vote!

    The other spin that will not stop is that 'independents' according to some 'pollsters' are falling in line with Mitt by 20-30-40 points?

    I think it was the former Penn Gov who just threw up his hands (after he threw up) and said something to the effect that there should be studies concerning these 'pollsters' and their methods.

    I end this silliness with the thought that Gallup (of all organizations) and Scarborough and rush and Halperin and a hundred other pundits will be proved wrong. Dead wrong!

    And a few days or weeks will go by and everyone will forget!

    But as I mentioned in other comments, I will be tuned into FOX on Tuesday the 6th in order to watch these pricks weep great tears as they watch their party go down the toilet.

    hahahahahahah

     

     

    Comments

    dd, I truly believe that barring any dirty tricks at polls/voting rosters, et al. that President Obama will win.  Have faith and vote!  (And don't forget to join us here on election night celebration!)


    Oh I am going to be right here.

    This will be fun.

    Rachel will run everything at MSNBC, Gergin the great combover and others will be at CNN.

    We will have fun!


    This is just my opinionation, but I say if a writer is using the words "it is no longer at all implausible," that's a hint that it's pretty f***ing implausible.


    They hedge their bets so that they can say later:

    Well I warned you.

    or

    See I told ya so

    or

    Well I knew something like this would happen!


    Josh notes over on TPM that the Koch-upation storm surge has begun, with a truly impressive shock-and-awe barrage of Republican ads in Pennsylvania.

    If they're going Full Money, it's not over yet.


    I take that as a sign that they've given up on OH, maybe FL.  It's not like polling just got way better for them in PA.


    I am astounded by all of this.

    I really am!

    On Tuesday, I hope to begin another blog on the issue of sheer propaganda.

    How does it work? How does it play?

    We are stuck in this dualistic universe.

    I admit that!

    But campaigns have become capitalistic ploys.

    I need your money.

    If you are on a limited budget why in the hell would you give food money to billion dollar enterprises?

    It makes no sense.

    But, if you really wish the Vikings to beat the Packers;well...you go ahead and sign on to some sports channel and...

    I still think this election is in the bag for dems.

    Of course, in Minnesota I shall vote for Barry and Amy and the fellow who is running against this teapartier who came out of nowhere to take a dem seat for repubs.

    My hope, is that the number crunchers are wrong and we shall again see a dem running the House.

    Why not?