Coming February 6, 2024 . . .
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Pre-order at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
Coming February 6, 2024 . . . MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Pre-order at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
The Tahrir Square uprising “has nothing to do with left or right,” said Dina Shehata, a researcher at Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies. “It is about young people rebelling against a regime that has stifled all channels for their upward mobility. They want to shape their own destiny, and they want social justice” from a system in which a few people have gotten fantastically rich, in giant villas, and everyone else has stagnated. Thomas Friedman - NYT
We have an inequality index that can go head to head with Egypt’s. Of course food’s cheaper here, so no one’s in the streets. Thomas Geoghegan, Chicago labor lawyer - NYT
No matter how sympathetic we are with their struggle, most of us following the events in Egypt probably see it as something very foreign: an exotically attired, dark skinned people, speaking heavily accented English in a far off land, rebelling against the corrupt regime of an aging dictator, something to which we can only identify with by an intensely imaginative use of our powers of empathy, seeing few similarities with our own lives and condition. Wrong. Thomas Friedman, of all people, brought it all closer to home for me.
I am no a fan of Friedman's, but the insight he gave me today was worth reading through a ton of his previous twaddle: "young people rebelling against a regime that has stifled all channels for their upward mobility" and "a system in which a few people have gotten fantastically rich, in giant villas, and everyone else has stagnated", sounded disturbingly familiar to me. It reminded me of many developed countries, but especially the USA. Reading further in the same online edition of the New York Times, I came upon the next quote by a Chicago labor lawyer, Thomas Geoghegan, "We have an inequality index that can go head to head with Egypt’s. Of course food’s cheaper here, so no one’s in the streets." Suddenly Cairo seemed much closer to home.
There is one of those wonderful Spanish sayings which goes, "when you see your neighbor's beard on fire, put your whiskers to soak". The domestic peace of the the "world's greatest democracy" could be hanging on the price of America's food and gasoline. I was also struck by another common factor, the similar declining value of a university education: all these revolts began when a Tunisian university graduate, unable to find work in any profession in consonance with his education and forced to earn his living peddling vegetables from an illegal pushcart, set himself on fire in protest. His suicide struck a chord in the entire Arab world and maybe, deep down, farther afield as well.
In a globalized economy, everyone is exposed to the same general forces. We are ruled by the "butterfly effect" and the butterflies are flapping their little hearts out all over the world today. Some countries and some people are much more vulnerable than others and that makes them more immediately and visibly victims to the forces that are also bending millions of people's lives more subtly and more gradually out of shape in more powerful, richer and more dynamic economies.
With every day that passes it seems clearer to me that growing social and economic inequality is the most dangerous wild card in the world's deck and that within a decade, or perhaps much less, what is happening in Egypt today will be seen as more than the beginning of a revolution in the Arab world, or in dictatorships, but a harbinger of even wider disturbances in places you might least suspect.
Comments
Good points, David. Informative selection of graphs (Uneven Prosperity is the chillingest). And one great image: "The butterflies are flapping their little hearts out all over the world today." Fly, colorful little insect, fly.
by acanuck on Wed, 02/09/2011 - 4:22pm
Although the trends in the US and elsewhere are not positive, one thing to temper what we are seeing in Egypt and the possibility of such in the US is that average income in Egypt is around $1,800 while in the US it is around $47,000. So even if both of those in the bottom 90% are see incomes stagnate, the overall quality of life for the two is vastly different when looked at in comparison.
by Elusive Trope on Wed, 02/09/2011 - 5:30pm
While I have no problem with your general point, you have this part very wrong:
It's not at all what happened.
And understanding what happened in Tunisia is key to understanding its influence on Egypt.
It's very key to get right what Mohamed Bouazizi's situation was, and what he was responding to, as it explains why he became a hero to so many, it's why so many found him very inspiriing.
And you're really missing a lot by not understanding it.
He wasn't a college graduate mad about not being able to get proper employment.
He was s simple average guy in his poor town fed up with horrible humiliating treament by the powers that be. It was about police and government repression in trying to earn a living at being a fruit seller. He wasn't fed up that he was a fruit seller, he was constantly hassled and humiliated at trying to earn a living selling fruit.
The New York Times sums up his background here:
The whole article does a fairly decent job of describing the Bouazizi story.
His simple average poor guyness is part of the inspiration--that even without an education, you don't have to take it, that not only the elite should expect freedom from fear of the government.
HOWEVER, to truly get it, you have to watch at minimum a couple of the the videos posted as a group
HERE.by The Lede.
Especially the first one. That's the one that went viral not just across Tunisia but the Arab world, where only a few hours after he torched himself in front of a government building, his relatives complaints start an incredible spontaneous demonstration that will bring tears to the eyes of anyone with a soul.
And the last one, where the British Channel 4 goes to Sidi Bouzid to interview his mother, the cousin that took the video, and townspeople that consider him a hero. They much more movingly confirm the Times article summary, of what this was all about.
The narrator says "he left school early, because his widowed mother couldn't afford to keep him there."
His mother explains how much he was humiliated by the police that "because of the oppression and the pressure, he set himself alight" and how proud she is that he stood up to it and inspired others, something along the lines that he was a gift from god to all the suffering oppressed simple people.
On the street, one guy says "we love him because he was a poor guy, a simple guy, yes, and now he is a hero." And a woman, there's almost a giddiness in her voice with the freedom to be able to speak about it, says Mr. Bouazizi! He was a hero ...to me....Mr. Bouazizi was a symbol...I thank him because he freed me of my fear... and has trouble finding the next words. The reporter asks Fear of what? She answers: Fear of oppression! Fear of the government!
You have to undestand how much it was about government oppression and humiliation by the government of the average guy than it was about inequality and lack of opporitunity, in order to understand how it has influenced Egyptians. Mad as hell about government oppression and not going to take it anymore. Surely, if you're an educated young man and have a lousy job or no job, you're humiliated, too. But this was about something different than not having that opportunity, it was about not being permitted to even try to earn a living as a simple peddler, being punished for trying, being oppressed and humiliated and constantly fearful.
If you don't understand this, you don't understand why the call for Mubarak to leave is the number one unfiier in Egypt, it is the reason so many people are out on the streets. It's not that they expecting to have their financial or career situations to improve, they just want the oppression to stop. It really is about "freedom." David, freedom from fear of the government, not about economic inequality. That's the Tunisia story, whether you like it or not. And does appear to be a lof ot the Egypt story, too. I don't think Egyptians are expecting an economic miracle or a class miracle, they just want the oppression to go away. They think now, after the Tunisian example, that they can do that.
by artappraiser on Wed, 02/09/2011 - 6:38pm
And your title, if it is trying to play off of “We are All Khaled Said” is incorrect, too. Because people in western societies suffering from poor economic conditions, or even those in poor neighborhoods that suffer from police abuse, do not have to worry about getting beaten to death by police simply because of refusing to give them money.
Edit to add: you are also making incorrect equivalence according to this guy, from Christiane Amanopur's Jan. 31 report:
He wants what he thinks we already have, and it doesn't have to do with income equality or economic opportunity.
by artappraiser on Wed, 02/09/2011 - 10:56pm
People in poor countries think that all Americans are rich... they want what they think or imagine we have. They get their information from Hollywood.
"Freedom" is a very abstract concept as anyone who, (comme on dit?), is "having trouble putting food on his family" can tell you.
Corruption, inequality, lack of jobs, studying to no avail, a stagnant economy, are very concrete things. That is what makes revolutions.
The word "Freedom", as it drops out of the American mouth, is in many ways an aristocratic concept, that, like Jefferson's personal freedom and the free time to write the Declaration of Independence, often depends on the work of slaves.
The problems that the Egyptians are suffering are the same ones that millions on millions of people all over the world are suffering right now, including millions of Americans.
Please tell me about the freedom of the estimated 19M American children who go to bed hungry every night.
by David Seaton on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 1:18am
Oh, so you think if the Palestinians were given good jobs and good food, they wouldn't mind not having control of their own destiny and wouldn't mind being subject to rough, instrusive policing and segregation and restriction of movement that they didn't authorize with a vote? Good to know!
You know, Mubarak just gave 6 million state workers a really nice pay raise--you and he are thinking alike. If you're right, it should be doing him some good any minute now....
Watch the Tunisian videos, David. It had nothing to do with American-influenced concepts of freedom. You're the one that's starting to sound racist, suggesting that all those brown people protesting (haven't found a one that looks like they're starving, by the way) are just plain dumb.
by artappraiser on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 1:56am
Well, the default Israeli position on the welfare of Palestinians was expressed by Moshe Dayan as, "let them live like dogs and if they don't like that they can leave", so we'll never know if your suggestion would be helpful.
In this context that is simply seen as a sign of weakness on Mubarak's part (which it is).
I don't know where you get that Art, it is precisely the opposite, like most revolutions the Egyptian one is being led by overqualified and underemployed middle class intellectuals in danger of proletarization. That is the classic mix. That the government cannot turn the "great unwashed" against them as "pointy headed elitists" is because the cost of bread is going up. Study the French Revolution and you'll see the same mix: dissatisfied middle classes and starving sans culotte. That is critical mass. Separated they can be defeated, together the revolt becomes a revolution.
by David Seaton on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 5:20am
I don't know where you get that Art
Right here:
They're stupid fools falling for Hollywood crap. And you just make it worse with this new comment, talk about elitism.Funny thing is that things seem to have reached critical mass without your advice about history and revolution so far.
Do you ever approach news without first trying to fit it into a bigger narrative that happens to be one of your hobby horses? Without trying to prove that the facts must not be exactly as presented, but that there must be some mistake or someone must be hiding something, or lying, or fooled, so that they fit into your narrative? Like just staying open minded and just trying to figure out what's going on from the evidence?
by artappraiser on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 3:43pm
They are not stupid fools, they know exactly what they don't want... what exactly they want is more nebulous because no people have ever actually been free (whatever that is) anywhere before. As to Hollywood, the closer you are to it the more intoxicating it is. Americans are much more stupefied by Hollywood than the Egyptians are.
by David Seaton on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 5:07pm
Art imitating life imitating art. The surreal American landscape on mushrooms.
by cmaukonen on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 11:33pm
I wrote this a week ago. I think it might be very relevant in the next 24/48 hours:
Military intelligence maven Suleiman is going to try and break the revolt, whether he can or not depends on the young officers, the ones who actually command the conscript soldiers.
by David Seaton on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 5:38am
Just listened to Mubarak's speech. Like I said before, totally tone-deaf. OK, David, it's time for your scenario. The question is: At precisely which level does the military split? Because either the army gets behind the revolution, or they have to take the Tienanmen route. And I don't think the military is willing to do that. The regime has already begun to lose the state-owned media, and this speech will only intensify nationwide strikes and demands for Mubarak (and, I think, Suleiman) to go.
Breaking point coming fast.
by acanuck on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 4:15pm
Suleiman's on TV now, showing himself to be equally tone-deaf. On CNN, Fareed Zakaria just called Mubarak's speech "delusional." Yup.
by acanuck on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 4:39pm
I think tomorrow will be an unforgettable day... I hope the blood is minimal.
by David Seaton on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 4:55pm
Maybe if Mubarek puts more giant posters of himself around the country the people will revere his eminence and his heroism, and recall the 'greatest moment in his life' planting the Egyptian flag in the Sinai 30 years ago. Are all Arab leaders such self-loving inflated fools, or does $70 billion in the bank and 30 years in power do that to anyone, heck, look what our own pompous buffoon and sociopath George W. did to the nation, and the world, in just his first 4.
by NCD on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 5:10pm
From the BBC:
by David Seaton on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 4:59pm
Some CNN talking heads are speculating that the regime is actually hoping to provoke violent clashes tomorrow, as a pretext for ordering a long-delayed military crackdown. Given how delusional Mubarak and Suleiman have shown themselves to be, it's actually plausible that is their plan.
by acanuck on Thu, 02/10/2011 - 5:40pm
They were interviewing Kristof on The Takeaway this morning, and he sounded puzzled, almost disappointed, that there had not been violence so far.
by Donal on Fri, 02/11/2011 - 8:14am
You can go on agreeing with Thomas Friedman's the earth is flat blather if you like and quoting sclerotic theories about the French Revolution that have been "revisionized" umpteen times over over the past half century.
You don't have to call it freedom if you wish, call it whatever you like.
But the revolution in Egypt, it's about the police state (just like with Bouazizi in Tunisia.)
Here again, evidence: It's not about the income inequality thing (as of yet, of course, it may be later), nor the "I'm educated but I can't get a decent job" thing.
It's just like the protesters keep saying, which you dismiss and dis as not knowing what they mean or want,
even among the working class,
it's about the police state, the police state they want gone (you know, those words you don't think they don't understand, freedom from fear.):
To claim that it's the same suffering or the same fight as the poor of the U.S. or the unemployed over educated youth of Italy or Spain or whatever is to dishonor their specific fight.
And that's why it really sort of bugs me to see you twist their fight to your ideological agenda on that topic.
Because it's an amazing thing what Bouazizi followers did in Tunisia standing up to a police state, and an amazing thing that the Egyptians are doing now. It's something that very few have tried all through history. And of those who did, many were crushed like worthless insects.
That's not something to minimize to the benefit of some other agenda.
by artappraiser on Fri, 02/11/2011 - 12:28am
Humanity is one, the agenda is one... bread and justice.
In a globalized economy all societies are facing the same pressures and challenges. Some of them are stronger and better able to resist than others and the discontent simmers. In other, more vulnerable populations it explodes. There are lessons in Egypt for everyone... He who hath ears etc.
by David Seaton on Fri, 02/11/2011 - 2:15am