As an undeviating Hillaryite  let me say

1.Bernie paid his dues at the convention

2. If he will return as an independent,that ´s fine. It has the advantage of honestly identifying his position

3. We don ´t know whether Bernie will endorse  the BFF´ s tiresome position. Letś  wait. 

Flavius ... Yes yes yes  ...

GET OUT THE VOTE

Wherever you are located, but especially if you are in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, or Florida.

And... as far as 538's current forecast? I'll stick with Sam Wang.

And here is how he does it...

Differences between models

by Sam Wang

Some of you ask why various models are currently giving different probabilities. At the moment, everybody’s above 50% probability for a Clinton win, but with varying degrees of certainty.

Here at the Princeton Election Consortium we follow a relatively simple procedure to generate (1) a snapshot of conditions today (see the top line of the banner), and (2) a prediction of November outcomes (“Nov. win probability” in banner).

• use the median and distribution of state polls to estimate each state’s current margin and win probability (see the right sidebar),
• combine the probabilities to make an exact snapshot of today (the EV count above),
• calculate how far national sentiment is from an electoral tie (the Meta-Margin),
• calculate what would happen if the nation were to drift in either direction by November (gives the random-drift probability), and finally
• impose a prior that the final outcome will be somewhere in the vicinity of where it’s been so far, a.k.a. regression to the mean (gives the Bayesian probability).

Polls only, no “fundamentals,” no pollster corrections. All of the above steps have a history and a justification. It’s a transparent process. I’ll populate with links later.

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/07/26/differences-between-models/

~OGD~

Don't do anything ( that's spelled A N Y T H I N G) that will cause a Sanders' supporter to decide not to vote for Hillary.

Guys- listen to the Sanders'  supporters and provide them with information that makes them more likely to 

                                                   vote for hillary.

If Hillary and her supporters can find the sweet spot that accomplishes both of those things, this will be a breezy general election.  ;-}

Be that as it may, it's far more important to consider what Sanders does next than to worry about his political label.