MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
By Ian Bremmer @ CBSNews.com, April 23. (In his new book, "Us vs. Them: The Failure of Globalism," Eurasia Group president and CBS News senior global affairs contributor Bremmer writes about the growing nationalism around the world and support for anti-establishment politicians.)
While I don't agree with everything Poli-Sci Prof. Bremmer says in this op-ed, I find this part of his essay a good big picture to keep in mind:
These failures belong to the entire U.S. political establishment. Citizens feel lied to or ignored—by politicians, the mainstream media, the business elite, bankers, and public intellectuals. They believe the game is rigged in someone else's favor, and they have a point.
American democracy itself is eroding. Donald Trump was elected president with votes from 26.3 percent of eligible voters.Hillary Clinton won 26.5 percent, but lost the electoral college. Yet here is the most revealing number: Nearly 45 percent of eligible American voters didn't vote at all.
Some didn't show up because they felt their vote represented a drop in the ocean, and some lived in states where the outcome wasn't in doubt. Others felt that none of the candidates could or would make things better. But many of these more than 100 million eligible American voters just didn't believe the outcome mattered. Just 36.4 percent of those eligible voted in the 2014 midterm congressional elections.
It gets worse. According to a study published in The Journal of Democracy, the share of young Americans who say it's important to live in a democratic country has dropped from 91 percent in the 1930s to 57 percent today. Fewer than one in three young Americans say that it's important to live in a democracy. In 1995, just one in sixteen Americans agreed that it would be "good" or "very good" to have military rule in the United States. In 2016, it was one in six.
Comments
I should add that I also like how he describes Trump voters. And that he's basically trying to warn us news junkies and people who consider themselves high-info voters that a lot of non-voters may think like Trump voters.
Edit to add: so then it goes to this: in heart of hearts, do we really believe in democracy? Or is democracy fated to fail? The internet was supposed to help educate voters, remember that hope?
by artappraiser on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 9:13am
I have a theory that people gravitate toward autocrats during periods of chaos and transition. They yearn, perhaps unconsciously, for someone to reassert the authority that has eroded. Just as the printing press undermined the authority of the Church, the information revolution has undermined the authorities of 20th century liberalism--journalists, scientists, doctors, politicians, generals, and religious leaders. The authoritarian promises to restore political and moral clarity in an era of uncertainty. That doesn't mean democracy is doomed but rather that democratic nations are vulnerable during this transition period before new authorities become established.
We saw a similar pattern during the decline of aristocracy from the late 18th century to the early 20th when some nations turned to post-aristocratic authoritarian nationalism--first France, then Russia, Germany, Italy, Japan, and Spain. Most of these reemerged as liberal democracies, but it was rough going, to put it gently. Hopefully, the changes of the early 21st century won't be so destabilizing.
by Michael Wolraich on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 4:00pm
Yes. Especially 1848! For which I've always believed the main culprit was the Industrial Revolution. Whole class structures changing. (Hobsbawn did the two classic histories, The Age of Revolution, 1789-1848 and The Age of Capital 1848-1875, the titles sum things up neatly, a bit too neatly, like with a bow.)
by artappraiser on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 1:17am
Yep, you've mentioned your 1848 theory before, and I'm persuaded. Also, the New Yorker had an interesting piece about fake news in the 17th century.
by Michael Wolraich on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 9:31am
Photo countering all of the above that's been very popular on Twitter,seems to say:all is well, nothing that much amiss,nothing broken that can't be fixed.
by artappraiser on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 10:51am
In 2001 Bush & posse, after successfully storming the recount office and blocking the people's will at the packed original intent Supreme Court took office with a neocon "we have a mandate" attituded that allowed them to ignore Democrats and start dusmantling basics of government operations and oversight. Gingrich largely paved the way for DeLay nd Cheney and later jerks including Trump.
Bush is rehabilitating himself, but he was a "major league asshole" whose actual performance won't be forgot no matter how many smiles and backrubs. As for first ladies, don't think any reason for them to frown - they just cleaned shit up, didn't start it.
by PeraclesPlease on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 1:07pm
‘I Don’t Like to Be Called a Nazi.’
Is civil discourse our last hope, or a pointless exercise in the Trump era? A conversation between New York Times editorial page editor James Bennet and Politico editor-in-chief John Harris.
By John F.Harris for Politco Magazine, May/June 2018
I will just add that I would have chosen to title this I Don't Like to Be Called a Nazi/Commie/Racist.
by artappraiser on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 10:59am
Lots of stuff on this meme the last few days:
A Warning to My Fellow Liberals
Burying our heads in the sand and hoping everyone we disagree with goes away is not an effective solution.
Op-ed by Annafi Wahed @ WSJ.com, April 22
by artappraiser on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 11:26am
Many of the Democrats who captured seats in special elections are Centrists. Many far-Leftists did not win their elections. I think Democrats remain a Center Left Party. The Republicans are far Right. Making compromise with Republicans means moving to the Right to get things done. The gripe is that Republicans are rigid.
Edit to add:
Stephens is hired by NYT and argues about climate change
Williamson is hired by Atlantic and talks about hanging women.
The head of the EPA is paranoid
The head of the Department of Interior flies his own flag when he is in the building
The head of HUD thinks the pyramids were grain silos
The head of the Department of Education thinks we have HBCUs because blacks practiced school choice
The finance adviser is a TV guy with a history of incorrect predictions
All this goes on and the obvious problem is the Democrats.
by rmrd0000 on Mon, 04/23/2018 - 12:25pm
"flies his own flag when he is in the building" you say that like it's a bad thing....wait, what? not flagpole, flag? Right, then, carry on.
by jollyroger on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 4:53pm
I am having trouble squaring these two study findings reported in the article:
Interesting piece.
by AmericanDreamer on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 12:09pm
Good catch. It's not just the "one in three" error; the whole analysis of the study is BS. Here's the source:
At first glance, you might wonder why this study goes from "1930s" to "1980s." If you read the fine print, you might also wonder how a 2005-2014 study surveyed public opinions of young people the 1930s during .
Well they didn't. They surveyed people in the 21st century and broke down the responses by decade of birth. This study says nothing about what young people valued in the 1930s. Rather, it tells us that old people today think democracy is more important than young people today. Moreover, those youngsters aren't saying that democracy is not important. They rated the importance of democracy on a scale from 1 to 10. 57% rated it from 8 to 10. 39% rated it from 4 to 7. The number of people who believe democracy is not important (1 to 3) is very small no matter how old you are. There is a trend here, but it's been totally misrepresented.
PS More info:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/12/08/yes-millennials-r...
https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/sites/default/files/Foa%26Mounk-27-3.pdf
by Michael Wolraich on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 1:16pm
In polls I am often asked (in this way) which things I want the government to work on:
Choose 3 —
Health care
The environment
Voting rights
Education
Infrastructure
International efforts towards peace
Food and sustenance for all people
OK. It sounds like what you are saying is that once I pick 3, the pollsters might be comfortable saying I didn’t care about the others. Thanks for pointing this out.
by CVille Dem on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 6:43pm
Just about all the surveys I am invited to respond to that I look at include multiple questions where my answer is none of the above. They often contain false dichotomies. They strike me as mainly fundraising approaches where you are supposed to be honored to respond to questions developed by apparently anyone at all.
by AmericanDreamer on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 6:58pm
Stupidest, most deceitful and longest running Gallup poll. Example poll bs.
Government, business and what is left of unions are presented as being discrete entities, independent of one another.
And "big money" as the BIGGEST threat, used to control big government, is obscured like the wizard behind the curtain in Oz.
by NCD on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 2:14pm
Thanks for bringing it up. (It bothered me too, didn't seem right, like an unnecessary hyperbolic addition.) Look what we got in reply that you did!
by artappraiser on Tue, 04/24/2018 - 2:52pm