The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

    Great Scott

    I first formed an opinion about Scott Ritter in the early 90s based on some network’s clip  showing him--then a UN arms inspector--arguing with some of his Iraqi contacts.  Poorly... Fitting every part of the role of the Ugly American.

    Some years later he spoke at some local hall and I went. In the flesh he was an improvement.

    That was the last I thought about him until the Huffington Post last week headlined those  comments of his on Lausanne which I linked to in Caviar anyone? I recommend taking a look at that link. Whichever side you’re on, Ritter raises issues which should be dealt with  although he himself, like me, seems  pro Lausanne. 

    Much of that “Caviar” link is what I privately think of as “inside baseball.” For example his attempt to deprecate the work, on Iran, of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).Or more precisely, to deprecate the US efforts to overly rely upon  that work.

     In Ritter’s view that  process involved :

    • First, our providing IAEA with our own “dodgy dossier” (the phrase the Brits used about the unreliable information which their secret service provided to Tony Blair re Iraq in 2003) but packaging it in a fashion which “precluded any sharing “ with Iran which Ritter thinks would have resulted in its being  disproved..
    • Then, second, our buttressing our accusations against Iran by attributing them  to the IAEA.

    Got it? We made the bullets and handed them to IAEA. Then borrowed them back.

    Ritter deals with the charge that Iran has lied to the IAEA as follows:

    A favorite mantra of those opposed to any nuclear deal with Iran is that Iran cannot be trusted to abide by any accord it enters into. It is true that Iran has, in the past, carried out undeclared diversions of its safeguarded nuclear material. Between 1998 and 2002 Iran used 1.9 kilograms of imported uranium hexafluoride stocks to test centrifuges. Iran had originally declared that this material had leaked from its containers. However, when pressed by the IAEA, Iran acknowledged the illicit test, as well as the subsequent production of a small amount of uranium enriched to 1.2 percent. Iran also used 50 kilograms of natural uranium metal, a safeguarded material, in uranium enrichment experiments using lasers. This resulted in a small amount of uranium being produced which was enriched to 3 percent. While these actions were declarable, and Iran's failure to do so represented a de-facto violation of its safeguards agreement with the IAEA, the material produced by Iran was so small as to be insignificant in terms of any nuclear weapons activity, and was in fact consistent with Iran's declared intention to enrich uranium to levels of no more than 3.5 percent to be used as nuclear fuel

    Seems like lying to me.

    Putting aside the question of whether Iran lied, Ritter’s overall position he himself summed up as follows:

    While there has been considerable disagreement between Iran and the IAEA over technical aspects of implementation of nuclear safeguards inspections inside Iran, there emerges one incontrovertible fact: the IAEA has been able to fully account for the totality of Iran's declarable nuclear material. There has been no meaningful diversion of nuclear material, and any diversions which occurred in the past have been fully accounted for. Simply put, void of any significant diversion of material from Iran's safeguarded nuclear stocks, and lacking any evidence of Iranian acquisition of undeclared nuclear material, either through procurement abroad or covert indigenous production, there can be no nuclear weapon, no matter how heated the rhetoric from Israel or Congressional Republicans becomes.

    Finally, not included in the “Caviar” post  is the question not of Ritter’s credibility but his morality. He served 3 years in jail on a serious morals charge-details in Wikipedia. Does that wipe out the credibility of his views on Iran? Well it sure doesn't increase it.

     

    The Senate Committee

     

    Today's unanimous decision by the  relevant Committee changes things. I comment below.

     

    Comments

    I always viewed him as a loose cannon.  

    He also has a fetish for little girls something I didn't know before. Being caught twice tells me he has a problem. 


    I forgot all about Ritter.

    He was an important person to me back when...

    I had no idea he was and is a pervert.

    He had many great things to say in his day.

    Sonofagun.

    Like Momoe says, I just went to Wiki.

     


    The existence of the Senate Committee means there won't be a deal by July 1.

    Iran will understand that to justify its existence the committee will have to insist on some change. And in fact almost certainly Iran  will have been  holding back on a final set of concessions with which it had always intended to seal the deal on June 30th. Now it will just have to sit on it-, possibly forever- chiefly depending on whether John Kerry senses Iran does have it in its pocket  (probably true) but doesn't  share  that with the Committee

    .So the Players : Kerry and Iran  will have something left which they can pretend the Committeee has extracted from them.

    Ah, negotiation!

    But this now can't be done by June 30th, Has to be time for everyone to play their accustomed role. 

    BTW I don't believe the committee members want Kerry to fail. They want him to be as successful as possible consistent with it looking as if he's failed.  Much as I felt when Bush was in office. Sadly,for the country and the world, not only did W look like a failure, he was one.