The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

    Those Gallup numbers must mean that

    Obama was leading Romney on Thursday

    For the 7 days to Wednesday R had a 7 point average lead. So

     

    R  7 times  53 =s                             371

    O              46                                   322

     

    Then for the 7 days to  Thursday R had a 6 point lead. That must mean that

    R   6 days  times                      53

         + 1 day (thursday) times      X

          Total                                            367  an average of  52.5

     

    O  6 days times                        46

         + 1 day times                        Y

         Total                                              327 an average of  46.5

     

    X must be 49 and Y must be 51.

     

    If Friday continues this 49 to 51 Obama lead Gallup will report that its tracking poll shows a 4 or 5 point Romney lead. But that's speculation , the above is just math

    .............................................................................................................................

    Saturday update

    Gallup did not improve to  a less than 6 point lead  so the results for Friday by itself were probably

    Romney                  53

    Obama                    47