MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
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MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Order today at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
This is making it's way through the climate blogs today. It was published a couple of days ago in PNAS. http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/02/20/1412887112.full.pdf+html It is pretty technical if you want to slog through it.
Medical X Press has a good summery of the findings. The plague made it's way from Asia to Europe along the silk road when fleas hitch hiked a ride. The rodents in Central Asia carried the plague and would die out during droughts. The fleas would then jump on other animals and people and then the outbreak would occur 16 years later in Europe.
It is an interesting read. Science is finding out what we thought historically about medieval Black Plague causes isn't what actually happened.
Comments
This was published in January comparing Ebola to the Black Plague., which points out climate changes that happened.
http://medicalxpress.com/news/2015-01-ebola-deaths-parallels-devastating-medieval.html#nRlv
by trkingmomoe on Wed, 02/25/2015 - 9:41pm
I have been writing a short post on this.
I will get back to you on this.
I did not read this direct comparison from the Black Plague to Ebola.
Thank you for this link.
I still am not sure I will post my deficient findings, but there are clear parallels. That is for sure but the damned subject is so goddamn complicated.
I do know this.
Whatever happens on this globe with regard to the death of our brothers and sisters, WE are all affected. When a hundred thousand die in some country a thousand or eight thousand miles from us, we MUST BE AWAKENED TO THE MENACE.
We are all part of the human race. Whether we like it or not.
Thank you for bringing his up.
by Richard Day on Wed, 02/25/2015 - 9:54pm
Thanks for your comment.
Changes in climate up sets the balance then causes spread of diseases.
Climate deniers and preppers think they will be able to forage and kill to survive but they don't understand about how everything goes out of balance. It is what they don't see that could wipe them out.
It was the gerbils not the black rats that was the original hosts.
Here is another link for you.
http://www.vox.com/2015/2/24/8101329/black-death-gerbils-rats
by trkingmomoe on Wed, 02/25/2015 - 10:18pm
I think it's an interesting read, and I'm glad that Varlik is not predicting that modern climate change will cause another pandemic, because the world we live in now, with jetliners that connect distant and formerly remote parts of the globe, is so very different from the world back then. Don't get me wrong — I'm not saying that climate change will absolutely have no impact on future pandemics, just that it'd be dangerous to draw too many conclusions from pandemics hundreds of years ago and apply them to today (which isn't to say that studying them is a waste of time).
I do sometimes worry that too many things get blamed on climate change. This worry is only partially based on an assumption that a few of those things (probably a fairly small number) are being falsely attributed to climate change. No, mainly I worry that it makes a complicated picture seem more complicated, and the standard response when things seem complicated it to look at them like a Rorschach test. (Don't take this little rant as anything other than a stream-of-consciousness rant — it's most definitely not directed at you or Varlik.)
by Verified Atheist on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 7:20am
Thanks for your comment.
Historical studies does give the CDC better information to use in building models of disease spread if there is a break out. It took a long time to figure out how the Spanish flu grew into a pandemic. The Chines have benefited from that knowledge in controlling out breaks of deadly new avian flu strains this last decade.
by trkingmomoe on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 7:58am
Absolutely. I do think that studying more recent outbreaks is more useful than studying outbreaks from centuries ago, but that doesn't mean that I think there's no value in studying outbreaks from centuries ago. In some ways we're better off (better sanitation), and in some ways we're worse off (more connectivity).
by Verified Atheist on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 8:02am
We can learn a lot from history that can be applied to modern out breaks.
http://medicalxpress.com/news/2014-12-journal-significance-black-death.html#nRlv
by trkingmomoe on Wed, 02/25/2015 - 10:06pm
This is a great example of the value of investing in institutions of higher education. Collaboration between social scientists, biologists, climatologists, epidemiologists, resulted in compiling this data. When Governors slash educational budgets, society loses out.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 9:14am
You just made me think of Rick Scott and his statement that he thought he wasted money on his daughter's anthropology degree. He thought it was totally useless. He did this in a speech explaining his cuts to higher education. He wanted state colleges to cut programs like that back in favor of engineering and science. The corrupt bean counter/lawyer did not understand the connection between disciplines.
This study was very broad and they looked at DNA of bones for clues and in some cases preserved grains, tree rings, politics and leaves from that era. What climatologists figured out was that the mini ice age that occurred between the first pandemic that happened and the second one was caused by the reforestation of Europe. They noted that less CO2 was in the atmosphere. Half the population died in the first pandemic and there was not enough people to continue all the cultivation and the need for grains. The forests reclaimed the fields. Vegetation uses CO2 and returns oxygen by respiration into the atmosphere.
We are now entering into an era of unknowns because of man made climate change. In our life time we have seen two new epidemics, HIV and Ebola emerge. Who knows what else has potential to emerge?
by trkingmomoe on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 11:03am
This blurb from UC Berkley notes what their undergraduates are doing a third are unemployed using their degrees, a quarter are in graduate study. A quarter are unemployed, and the rest are involved in "other" activities. A 25% unemployment rate may not be that uncommon for college graduates in the time period evaluated.
http://anthropology.berkeley.edu/undergraduate/what-you-can-do-your-anth...
It wasn't uncommon running into anthropology students in chemistry, biology, math, and stats classes back in the medieval period when I attended college. Some degrees are associated with better employment opportunities with graduate degrees. The methodology and thought process required in anthropology would seem adaptable to multiple jobs.
by rmrd0000 on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 11:30am
Thanks for the link.
The problem is just the lack of jobs in this economy. A service economy is not enough to move forward on, we need to create and make things. Degrees in social sciences always in the past had a place in the work world.
There is just too many anti-education politicians kissing up to the right to stay in office.
by trkingmomoe on Thu, 02/26/2015 - 12:20pm
http://westnile.ca.gov/news.php?id=128
West Nile is on the rise in drought stricken California. This is caused by less puddles and watering holes for animals and insects. There is more stagnant pools of water that draws insects and very slow moving streams that pool up. It makes it easy to spread the disease among birds and mosquitoes because they have closer contact when seeking water. The birds carry it and the mosquitoes transfer it to humans.
by trkingmomoe on Fri, 02/27/2015 - 10:39am
I find this counter-intuitive (which doesn't mean I think it's wrong). I'd think that there'd be fewer stagnant pools of water in a drought.
I suppose the logic is that without running streams, low spots in lakes become stagnant.
by Verified Atheist on Fri, 02/27/2015 - 11:24am
It does seem it should be the other way. Even less places for the mosquitoes to breed.
http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article11054219.html
Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article11054219.html#storylink=cpy
by trkingmomoe on Fri, 02/27/2015 - 2:13pm