Coming February 6, 2024 . . .
MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE
by Michael Wolraich
Pre-order at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop
Coming February 6, 2024 . . . MURDER, POLITICS, AND THE END OF THE JAZZ AGE by Michael Wolraich Pre-order at Barnes & Noble / Amazon / Books-A-Million / Bookshop |
A recent Washington Post poll has Trump’s approval at 3% among black voters. A previous Rasmussen poll had Trump’s approval among black voters at 36%.
Rasmussen wasn’t transparent about its methodology while the WaPo poll is transparent. 538 pointed out problems with Rasmussen polls back in 2010.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-rasmussen-reports-biased/
Link to the WaPo article (may be behind a paywall for some)
Comments
Click the tab "Over Time" and then select "Race/Ethnicity" for "Show Results By" to see that these things are more complex than they first seem.
You get a graph where you see all groups approval went down since they last polled.
If you hover over the dots with the cursor you see the dates of the polls and the numbers for each.
Last time, July 2, they got 17% approval for Trump from African-Americans! It had ticked up some from the 11% they got on April 11!. This time, Aug. 29, is when it then crashed badly to 3%.
The "NET Non White" followed the same trajectory but didn't crash below previous: 17% on April 11, went way up to 31% on July 2, and was 19% on Aug. 29.
The "White" number just went down: 53% on April 11, 50% on July 2, 45% on Aug. 29.
This gives more context to the crazy Rasmussen numbers. Still very biased but not as extremely as it first looked, because this poll also got much stronger African-American approval on July 2 than usual: 17%. Not to mention 31% from Non White on the same date.
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/04/2018 - 1:29pm
P.S. More analysis and discussion of this poll overall on my Sept. 1 news thread here
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/04/2018 - 1:20pm
I see there is an April 6 2018 article @ FiveThirtyEight.com discussing the polling issue that there is considerable diversity in black political opinion outside of the often-binary question of voting: The Diversity Of Black Political Views which might help some with some things like understanding presidential approval rating, possible approval for a president that they didn't vote for or vice versa, stuff like
by artappraiser on Tue, 09/04/2018 - 1:46pm