The Bishop and the Butterfly: Murder, Politics, and the End of the Jazz Age

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Of "good enough" mothers and Mack trucks

Until 1960 a mother who had an autistic child not only had to deal with that heart break , she also had to listen when the  Freudian  psychiatrists or psychologists  she consulted "helped" her by telling her she made her child autistic.. 

You can't push a string

Most governors are refusing to set up medical exchanges.Thank you , thank you , thank you.

 Understandably it's not a compelling topic today against the back drop of the Connecticut killings but maybe we'll look back on this period  as when we made the first step towards single payer.

Tough thoughts on Veterans' Day

Amazon.com The following is from Brad Delong.It takes some work to sort out which K is speaking but it's worth the effort.

Oh wad that Pow'r the Giftie gie us

etc.

Samuel Brittain , yesterday's FT

" I have a table of the behavior of the main......economies since their pre-recession peak of 07-08. Canada heads the list with a net gain of real GDP of 4.1% The US comes next with 2.2% followed by Germany with 1.7.

France is still  0.8% behind its earlier peak, Japan is 1.9% short..........

These are ....historical records, not forecasts. The discrepancies are too large to be explained by demography. The US must be doing something right......"

I must have missed the WSJ's coverage.

Waiting for Dade

10% of its votes are still missing and will take until this afternoon to be tabulated.

In 08 Obama got 58% of Dade but since then there has been a shift in the ethnic mix further increasing the preponderance of immigrants.

 

Still hard to see this eroding Obama's overall lead in the state

The first thing,let's kill all the pollsters

The Gallup tracking polls on which I've been wasting good space here aren't worth the effort. IMHO successive reports appear to show important changes which are purely the result of Gallup's methodology

Consider Obama's rating in  the  polls issued on               

             10/21                                 10/23                 and       10/26

What Gallup should report tomorrow

Further to my two days' old post  " Obama's quick Gallup recovery".....after being mired at 45% in Gallup's tracking  poll of  likely voters Obama's % starting rising this week

Poll published

Tuesday.              46%

Wednesday          47

Thursday              47

Obama's quick Gallup recovery

Today's Gallup  tracking poll has Obama back up to a 47% approval rating. That compares with recent history as follows

Gallup’s " likely voter" reports 

Who won?

Huff post  at 10 50``Romney 44%   Obama  34%

I'll add other votes as I get them

CNN  Obama 78; Romney 22

Huff post at 10 55    Obama 43
Romney 38

A couple of later results are below as comments since the system wasn't allowing me to post them as edits here.

Good night

Those Gallup numbers must mean that

Obama was leading Romney on Thursday

For the 7 days to Wednesday R had a 7 point average lead. So

 

R  7 times  53 =s                             371

O              46                                   322

 

Then for the 7 days to  Thursday R had a 6 point lead. That must mean that

R   6 days  times                      53

     + 1 day (thursday) times      X

      Total                                            367  an average of  52.5

 

O  6 days times                        46

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