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When I was thrilling

 When I was thrilling. I said No.

But I was willing."

Cole Porter, I think.

There ought to be a law- in fact there probably  is -against  all those Virginian cases- charges from  rape or wearing a  black face cruelly to make fun of the victims of slavery.. Probably.

 To declare a bias I was a  half hearted guest at a college   Cake Walk . ,A long  way  from Virginia. The performers wore black face or chalky white .Over otherwise outlandish garb .And did various low level  athletics. With loud music. 

Thoughts after reading Danny


Or ,started that way then took on a life of its own.Unfortunately.

Danny was responding to the Pelosi -haters. And Flav tried to butt in


,"Yes ( Flavius attempting to respond to Danny ) all deeply unpleasant. 

All of them have lost contact with an important part- the best part- of their nature when they let themselves lose control of their emotions and  let themselves think those  bitter  things........."


And then I started down  path.......

GOOD GUYS DON'T ALWAYS WIN , uh ,they did.

If there's someone you're rooting to win something , let me know ,I'll predict their failure and that should put them over the finish line.

I have nothing to add to  what you've read in the last 24 hours. Unlike your immediate correspondent N&C emerged from the "longest shut down in history" with a record of saying A on day one and continuing  to say it until day F- for folded- when Donald  did that.. 

Good guys don't always win

if ever. And certainly the shut down isn't going to be one of those times.

Before you start to convince me  the Democrats have done the right thing , don't bother. They have.

And it's going to cost them votes. Good guys ,to repeat myself , don't etc.

By next Friday if  the laid off  have  missed another  pay check, and there's no announced  end of it , whatever they think about Trump . they'll  be bitter with Pelosi and  Chuck.

As to Trump ? Later. 

Failed attempt


The top line is what 538 reported sunday. Where there  is a second line that is what 538 reported today.

All  data is for the Senate unless marked   HO


             Pollster      Number                                                                                                                        ................................polled 


Mining the 538 data


Nov 3      St.Peter's polls          N 48; 49                                                                                               .............. Harris                         46;  48 

Nov 2        Harris                    N  45;  50                                                                                                     ...............Vox populi                    50  50

538's Sunday and Morning am data

Following is 538's Sunday data followed by this Morning's numbers if any. If there wasn't a report yesterday

I've posted the Monday data at the bottom.

                  Pollster             Number                                                                                                                                 ______              polled 



538's Saturday's new polls

        Pollster                         Number                                                                                                                                   ______                          polled


FL      St.Pete's polls               2733    Nelson      48   Scott     49

TX     Change Research         1211    O'Rourke   49   Cruz      49

MO   Remington Research    1429    McCaskill   47    Hawley   47

FL    Targoz                              558   Nelson        45    Scott      49

538 is no more

I've been posting 538's daily forecast for the House and Senate election.

It's aged out of From the Readers so I'll stop.

What I've learned is that nothing has changed much during that week of ten days: 538 calculates the dems

will carry the House and not the Senate. By about  they would have done when I started.

I'll post it again on Election eve.


Pittsburgh, Pipe bombs , Caravan & Nov 5

Take things in order.

o Call your best Jewish friend this morning  to say you're sorry.

o Re this week's victim of Trump's endless  incitement for violence from which he is immune. No need to raise it If  asked , what he tried hasn't worked , let's try something that might.

o And the Caravan . The Caravan! 

It's not going to get here till Dec. You know that If Trump had wanted, knew how to , he would have dealt with it already. He didn't


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